What reputation is
Your reputation is the record of every prediction you've made and how it turned out. Each call is signed by your wallet and timestamped before kickoff, so it's locked in before anyone knows the result. Then the chain records what actually happened. Wins and losses. Nothing is filtered, nothing is cosmetic.
Because it's built from signed, pre-committed calls, it's a record nobody can fake, edit, or quietly rewrite after the fact. That's what makes it worth something, to you, to the people deciding whether to back you, and to your own capital position.
The two numbers that matter
Reputation surfaces as two headline metrics on your profile and across the leaderboard:
Accuracy rate
The share of your settled predictions that were correct. Measured as a rate, not a streak. A long history of honest calls beats a lucky run.
Signal Score
A 0-100 score that rewards being right with conviction. Calling an upset the market thought unlikely is worth more than agreeing with the crowd.
Accuracy rate is the hero number, instantly understandable, and the first thing a prospective backer looks at. Signal Score goes deeper: it's weighted by how much you staked and by the price you got in at, so a confident, correct call at a long price moves it more than a tentative one. It rewards profitability (being right when it was hard to be right), not just volume: 50 is break-even, and every point above it means your settled calls beat the market.
What counts toward your record
- Only settled predictions: a call counts once the market resolves. Cancelled or invalidated markets don't count either way.
- Both outcomes: wins build your record, and losses stay in it permanently. A visible miss is exactly what makes your wins credible.
- Recent form is tracked too: your lifetime record is the headline, but a rolling recent-form score sits alongside it, so a hot or cold streak is visible without erasing your history.
How reputation turns into income
This is the payoff. A strong record unlocks the analyst economy in two stages, gated on settled predictions:
- 20 settled predictions: you appear on the public leaderboard and discovery feed. Your backing page becomes visible (locked), with a progress bar toward unlock.
- 25 settled predictions: backing unlocks. Other users can buy into your vault, and you earn an ongoing override on the rewards your calls generate, on top of any profit from the predictions themselves.
In other words: the predictions you make today are how you get paid more than once for being right. See the analyst economy for exactly how backers and analysts both earn.
Your reputation is portable
Because your accuracy record is mirrored to an open attestation graph, your reputation isn't locked inside Signal. The outcome of every settled prediction is written to Intuition, a separate public graph, as signed correct and incorrect calls anchored to your wallet. Any app can read it, and any third party can verify it independently, without going through us.
That means the analysis you do today still counts years from now, on any platform that can read the chain. For the full detail on how records are signed, stored, and verified, see Your on-chain record.