Consensus map
2026-07-19 — Will Spain win the World Cup 2026? — YES
Every wallet that backed this market, placed by how sure they were of their own call. Read from the public record, not from Signal’s database.
Called it wrong · 62%32% · Called it right
Distance from the centre is how likely that wallet said their own pick was.
Dot size: stake
- $0-10
- $100-500
- $2,500+
Bigger dot, bigger position. Band only, never the amount.
Reading
4
wallets have settled calls on this market
32%
median price the 2 who were right paid for it
62%
median price the 2 who were wrong paid for theirs
The losing side was 30 points more confident than the winning side.
Sharpest call
Backed the eventual result when they rated it just 32% likely — the cheapest correct call in this market.
0x46e7...6353Market id on the record
0x5ac81e1e7c39bae4046b9a80530ed2d59bf4bf585e3ec866705df19077c063e3