Verified public record

knowledge graph

Mbappe

name from Signal

0xd548...5a45

A prediction record re-derived live from the public record on Intuition, not from Signal’s database. Anyone can reproduce every number here without us, and the proof sits directly under the headline figure.

Fetched Oct 19, 2026, 9:21 PM

83.3%

verified
10/12 settled

Last 1080.0%

Last 3083.3%

Calibration0.16 lower is better

Last 10 settled calls

Reproduce this record yourself

Every number above is read directly from Intuition’s knowledge graph. Here is how to check it.

Intuition’s knowledge graph is an open, independent ledger. Signal does not control it.
Run the prefilled query below to pull this wallet’s settled picks.
Count the correct outcomes: you will land on the same 83.3%.

knowledge graph

12 settled calls are written into Intuition’s knowledge graph. Signed by 0xd5AB8B…c20Dc9. Every one of them is a statement about the same subject, so this whole record answers a single query.

Subject id: 0x496f18259c3524801fb73a2b4caf1eb3712d61e038c69b1b88bef1f9f824c151
Derived from the address as text: keccak256( keccak256("ATOM_SALT") + keccak256("0xd54804e6145e93078715389693c13a024c095a45") )

Your browser just derived this id from the address itself and got the same answer the reader did. No lookup table, and nothing to take on trust from Signal.

Sport, league and market type sit one hop further out. They describe the pick that every backer of a market shares, not the wallet, so reproducing a slice means following the call to its pick and reading the edges there.

The shape of a record

0xd548...5a45

the subject of every call below

0x496f18259c3524801fb73a2b4caf1eb3712d61e038c69b1b88bef1f9f824c151

correctlyPredicted / incorrectlyPredicted

the settled market

one node, shared by every backer

hasSport · inLeague · hasMarketType

sport, league, market type

properties of the market, not of you

madePrediction

this wallet’s prediction

kept separate so per-wallet numbers cannot collide

onOutcome points back at the same market

impliedProbBps · stakeTier

entry price and stake tier

Two edges leave the wallet. One records whether a call was right and lands on a market node that every backer of that market shares. The other leads to this wallet’s own prediction, which carries its numbers without touching the shared node.

Only the wallet id is shown, because it is the one this browser can derive for itself. The market and prediction ids come back from the graph, and guessing them from a label on this page would produce a convincing wrong answer.

Open the live query

Technical details

Graph endpointhttps://testnet.intuition.sh/v1/graphql

Subject id (wallet): 0x496f18259c3524801fb73a2b4caf1eb3712d61e038c69b1b88bef1f9f824c151
Predicate id (correct): 0x7182005591d213c8a1bf946c432c80966baea85c6ad65c388052227c69f2ee79
Predicate id (incorrect): 0xe5aa13cf3db8ca06645726ce4146cc98c29137c1daed6165c673e79875a26fbd
Taxonomy predicate (hasSport): 0x779d62b8b21087ed878fac333c8f3fd3a067d4f8fbe3abcf2f57aed7df805584
Taxonomy predicate (inLeague): 0x9c37640b4df61e7eb4aeaa3f6dbb0f01f604cf89fcdc819ac301a6ced5f7bc27
Taxonomy predicate (hasMarketType): 0x27d91dbecff639f1854ec9a7ab8bbb841e04c21da46874dc26a7332b056461a6
Taxonomy predicate (madePrediction): 0xd2b04d1e88d51684194508230ab46cda7da003271b24c5f12e34f4330b0a7962
Taxonomy predicate (onOutcome): 0x3fe50100b0e4f5d1867ff62e1fa0a673526f9a8442fc30caccb913f8a1c59436
Taxonomy predicate (impliedProbability): 0x0ef890e170e4377de77bb5653ff7f96b73c69a1d9d911808e6ff1377100e0b6e
Taxonomy predicate (stakeTier): 0x0f4e0856b096d99c86e91b8380f64a32ecdfd342d502116645ff66a9bfa302b7

Attestor wallets. Intuition’s graph is permissionless, so only records created by these addresses are Signal attestations; filter by creator to reproduce the exact count.

0xd5AB8B5c5D3300D4A5B119915d8816A3bac20Dc9

The exact query

query SignalReputation($subject: String!, $predicates: [String!]!, $creators: [String!]!, $offset: Int!, $limit: Int!) {
  triples(
    where: { subject_id: { _eq: $subject }, predicate_id: { _in: $predicates }, creator_id: { _in: $creators } }
    order_by: { block_number: desc }
    offset: $offset
    limit: $limit
  ) {
    term_id
    block_number
    created_at
    predicate_id
    object_id
    object { label }
  }
}

Atom IDs are derived deterministically as calculateAtomId(toHex(label)) — the same computation Signal uses to write them. Run this query against graphqlUrl with these variables to reproduce the accuracy yourself, without trusting Signal. The creator filter matters: the graph is permissionless, so only triples created by the listed attestor wallets are Signal attestations — pass each attestor in checksummed AND lowercased form as $creators.

How the record is written and verified

Breakdown

By league

World Cup75.0% · 6/8

Other100.0% · 4/4

By sport

Football81.8% · 9/11

Other100.0% · 1/1

By market type

BTTS100.0% · 4/4

Result0.0% · 0/1

Goals O/U100.0% · 1/1

Other83.3% · 5/6