Consensus map
2026-07-19 — Will Argentina win the World Cup 2026? — NO
Every wallet that backed this market, placed by how sure they were of their own call. Read from the public record, not from Signal’s database.
Called it wrong · 26%74% · Called it right
Distance from the centre is how likely that wallet said their own pick was.
Dot size: stake
- $0-10
- $100-500
- $2,500+
Bigger dot, bigger position. Band only, never the amount.
Reading
4
wallets have settled calls on this market
74%
median price the 2 who were right paid for it
26%
median price the 2 who were wrong paid for theirs
Sharpest call
Backed the eventual result when they rated it just 74% likely — the cheapest correct call in this market.
0xb12c...2f0cMarket id on the record
0x032945850fd646a2509258b4861348f3bf29088a99f2abbe21acb677ddbc8ba1