Consensus map
2026-07-19 — Over 2.5 goals: Spain vs Argentina? — NO
Every wallet that backed this market, placed by how sure they were of their own call. Read from the public record, not from Signal’s database.
Called it wrong · 41%59% · Called it right
Distance from the centre is how likely that wallet said their own pick was.
Dot size: stake
- $0-10
- $100-500
- $2,500+
Bigger dot, bigger position. Band only, never the amount.
Reading
2
wallets have settled calls on this market
59%
median price the 1 who were right paid for it
41%
median price the 1 who were wrong paid for theirs
Sharpest call
Backed the eventual result when they rated it just 59% likely — the cheapest correct call in this market.
0xc2f1...73e2Market id on the record
0xbf5f68bc5ee1bd9c25fe39e39db97f0ac00ee6cbe1344fd8f68fabf5c74da27c