Consensus map
2026-07-19 — Nico Williams: 2+ shots on target vs Argentina — YES
Every wallet that backed this market, placed by how sure they were of their own call. Read from the public record, not from Signal’s database.
Called it wrong · 83%17% · Called it right
Distance from the centre is how likely that wallet said their own pick was.
Dot size: stake
- $0-10
- $100-500
- $2,500+
Bigger dot, bigger position. Band only, never the amount.
Reading
2
wallets have settled calls on this market
17%
median price the 1 who were right paid for it
83%
median price the 1 who were wrong paid for theirs
The losing side was 67 points more confident than the winning side.
Sharpest call
Backed the eventual result when they rated it just 17% likely — the cheapest correct call in this market.
0x46e7...6353Market id on the record
0x80cc1289c45a8167c8489f93492b81eb0cf9edfde1e5b789f7376613ff4dfd18