Consensus map
2026-08-09 — Will Palmeiras beat Internacional? — NO
Every wallet that backed this market, placed by how sure they were of their own call. Read from the public record, not from Signal’s database.
Called it wrong · 62%38% · Called it right
Distance from the centre is how likely that wallet said their own pick was.
Dot size: stake
- $0-10
- $100-500
- $2,500+
Bigger dot, bigger position. Band only, never the amount.
Reading
3
wallets have settled calls on this market
38%
median price the 2 who were right paid for it
62%
median price the 1 who were wrong paid for theirs
The losing side was 23 points more confident than the winning side.
Sharpest call
Backed the eventual result when they rated it just 38% likely — the cheapest correct call in this market.
0x46e7...6353Market id on the record
0x3005ad478dec05efbaae2dfc0152681a5a066bee9cd107f47112c9a418c40b53