Consensus map
2026-08-09 — Will Bahia beat Vasco DA Gama? — NO
Every wallet that backed this market, placed by how sure they were of their own call. Read from the public record, not from Signal’s database.
Called it wrong · 48%52% · Called it right
Distance from the centre is how likely that wallet said their own pick was.
Dot size: stake
- $0-10
- $100-500
- $2,500+
Bigger dot, bigger position. Band only, never the amount.
Reading
2
wallets have settled calls on this market
52%
median price the 1 who were right paid for it
48%
median price the 1 who were wrong paid for theirs
Sharpest call
Backed the eventual result when they rated it just 52% likely — the cheapest correct call in this market.
0xc2f1...73e2Market id on the record
0x24e5cb9c40a1ead8f3cd8a487ba745230cb1545c622e0361d37ebff0e7e70095