Consensus map
2026-08-08 — Will Gremio beat Sao Paulo? — YES
Every wallet that backed this market, placed by how sure they were of their own call. Read from the public record, not from Signal’s database.
Called it wrong · 58%42% · Called it right
Distance from the centre is how likely that wallet said their own pick was.
Dot size: stake
- $0-10
- $100-500
- $2,500+
Bigger dot, bigger position. Band only, never the amount.
Reading
2
wallets have settled calls on this market
42%
median price the 1 who were right paid for it
58%
median price the 1 who were wrong paid for theirs
The losing side was 16 points more confident than the winning side.
Sharpest call
Backed the eventual result when they rated it just 42% likely — the cheapest correct call in this market.
0xc2f1...73e2Market id on the record
0x20661670cab667925d285ebcce4063fc5fa54b5fa6cc9d8506007f6dd47b80f4